Measurability of the epidemic reproduction number in data-driven contact networks
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
The Basic Reproduction Number as a Predictor for Epidemic Outbreaks in Temporal Networks
The basic reproduction number R0--the number of individuals directly infected by an infectious person in an otherwise susceptible population--is arguably the most widely used estimator of how severe an epidemic outbreak can be. This severity can be more directly measured as the fraction of people infected once the outbreak is over, Ω. In traditional mathematical epidemiology and common formulat...
متن کاملEstimation of the reproduction number of dengue fever from spatial epidemic data q
Dengue, a vector-borne disease, thrives in tropical and subtropical regions worldwide. A retrospective analysis of the 2002 dengue epidemic in Colima located on the Mexican central Pacific coast is carried out. We estimate the reproduction number from spatial epidemic data at the level of municipalities using two different methods: (1) Using a standard dengue epidemic model and assuming pure ex...
متن کاملEstimation of the reproduction number of dengue fever from spatial epidemic data.
Dengue, a vector-borne disease, thrives in tropical and subtropical regions worldwide. A retrospective analysis of the 2002 dengue epidemic in Colima located on the Mexican central Pacific coast is carried out. We estimate the reproduction number from spatial epidemic data at the level of municipalities using two different methods: (1) Using a standard dengue epidemic model and assuming pure ex...
متن کاملBayesian Inference for Contact Networks Given Epidemic Data
Networks are now commonly used in the study of epidemics, where it has been shown that different contact network structures lead to different epidemic dynamics and, therefore, require different containment strategies. There has been little work, however, on the problem of inferring the structure of an underlying network given observed features of an epidemic. This talk builds on work by Britton...
متن کاملChlamydia transmission: concurrency, reproduction number, and the epidemic trajectory.
To identify factors that influence individual and group transmission of Chlamydia, the authors conducted community-wide contact tracing of chlamydia cases in Colorado Springs, Colorado, from mid-1996 to mid-1997. Case patients identified persons with whom they had had contact during the 6 months preceding diagnosis; contacts were actively sought and offered DNA amplification testing. Sexual con...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
سال: 2018
ISSN: 0027-8424,1091-6490
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1811115115